Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 162.774935 187.956988 216.728139 252.244646 295.199654 345.840116 410.604787
2025-08-17 129.018577 160.865136 200.935907 255.864101 330.482633 430.235248 577.031866
2025-08-24 108.523273 142.336867 187.724993 254.625948 353.413659 498.463067 736.659709
2025-08-31 94.950010 129.534614 178.381883 254.721577 375.507552 567.644173 915.387969
2025-09-07 85.565480 120.685645 172.495180 257.704903 401.093711 646.552456 1133.712651
2025-09-14 75.072944 108.590645 159.706161 247.172195 401.710552 682.447684 1284.192558
2025-09-21 68.748852 101.916766 154.175018 247.194674 419.862289 753.406005 1529.326786
2025-09-28 63.862745 96.843120 150.403188 249.348495 441.905429 836.894313 1834.690011
2025-10-05 62.095991 96.535965 154.370717 265.759354 494.548108 997.937623 2402.381703
2025-10-12 60.003289 95.396531 156.665382 279.282614 544.195494 1167.618492 3087.409779
2025-10-19 56.066041 90.653374 151.920908 278.195712 561.965715 1266.441872 3618.858626
2025-10-26 53.332768 87.742030 150.160863 282.822497 593.638927 1411.100632 4398.161097
2025-11-02 49.807434 83.429674 145.953271 283.217373 619.506290 1561.571736 5373.157590
2025-11-09 46.994783 80.197173 143.555479 287.485128 657.365343 1767.616233 6811.295620
2025-11-16 43.927919 76.152425 139.010052 286.058808 680.058444 1937.922547 8300.818112
2025-11-23 41.349087 72.777030 135.398970 286.169233 707.227430 2138.197200 10244.941656
2025-11-30 39.326941 70.285248 133.317058 289.612629 745.315518 2400.427231 13030.486046
2025-12-07 36.236449 65.381486 125.527083 277.461686 732.791166 2459.522861 14528.040147
2025-12-14 34.391591 62.844916 122.631604 277.487601 759.279348 2699.111877 18008.090591
2025-12-21 32.888718 60.876915 120.776911 279.970961 794.958506 3004.806462 22965.165422
2025-12-28 32.601337 61.418161 124.672622 298.915828 894.571631 3698.408048 34875.579915
2026-01-04 32.064990 61.372673 127.194373 314.557031 988.879730 4458.340105 52269.244586
2026-01-11 30.569088 59.107074 124.152422 313.298935 1017.553339 4865.893831 66754.642209